FormulaNova said..
If you are saying that 'they are making guesses and doing it badly' then you must know what the guesses should be. How is it that you know the answers or are you using 20/20 hindsight? Its easy to look at the results and say what should have been done.
There have been cases of people catching Covid in their teens. How is this for 'immunity'?
It sounds like you are making guesses as well, just different to the authorities.
Because infection rates won't accurately be known until it's all over. This isn't my guess, this is the facts. And even then the error bars will be huge. So obviously, anyone telling you exact odds is just making stuff up -- especially if they're averaging across all age groups: if you're 24, your chances are vastly different to a 64 year old.
There's the problem -- getting sick isn't what we're actually worried about are we. Or shouldn't be -- apparently these days, you can't even risk that.
We've got data from Sweden, who also didn't close schools:
www.folkhalsomyndigheten.se/contentassets/c1b78bffbfde4a7899eb0d8ffdb57b09/covid-19-school-aged-children.pdf2.9 million students and children under 19, 0 deaths, 14 admitted to ICU. If that's not effectively immune to the disease, I don't know what your definition is...?