Ian K said..
In fig 4 right diagram of your original post are you balancing the forces on the rig? The force on the board at the mast base will be equal and opposite. But first you have to get the horizontal forces on the rig to balance. 10.4 kg is small in the scheme of things but if you add it rather than subtract it you'll get 21 kg less force on the fin. Then you'll be in the ballpark of the calculations by Jim Drake.
Interesting point about the race board with the raised mast track. You've got me puzzling about it?
(not that we should necessarily assume Jim Drake got it right. We've got to question everything.)
For sure Jim know physics,but he use general Fsail xh=WxL formula,because dont want bother people with sinus,cosinus,moments,force components etc..Also less complex equation is ,it is more understandable for most people.
Yes this formula is correct ones everything is put in balance..so you can use it at the end of calculaiton for one more check system balance..
Equation Fsail x h= Weight x L dont include sailor lean out angle ,and harness line angle...Sailor weight ,lean out angle and harness line angle(T1) in combination with sailor distance from centerline,deterimne what sail force (Fsail) will be.But when I put everything in balance, I can use this formula to check system balance(You can see when I find that my first "fin" (0.35m) will lift windward rail up ,then I put smaller fin (0.14m) to make system balance,now I can use this simple formula to once again check system balance..(Try it ,input fin (0.14m) into this simple formula Fsail x h= Weight x L and you will get ,Fsail= 67kg again..)
(Statics is the branch of mechanics,I didnt inveted this rules,rules for calculation for universal joints exist for hundreds of years..)
Listen at 6:40-7:30,he said low hook increase railing, high hook-put rail down-more control..
Without any calculation you can see why this is happend,just watch on left picture...
Low hook will make harness line more vertical,so you will increase T1 angle, magnitude of
T1v will also increase,as a consequence of that you will lose some of your vertical force at feet,so it will be harder to hold windward rail on the water...
Higher hook -opposite effect=more vertical force on rail=more control...
(in simple way all tunning tips can be explained in my calculation)

You can see if harness line stay 100% horizontal(T1 angle=0 ,hard to make in reality) than vertical force at feet will be equal to all your weight(100kg),that will give you extra control in super hard condition.
Some sailors have that style-love control
2m tall sailor - lowest boom position - waist harness = harness line almost horizontal