The only thing for sure, is that the forecast will change at least a hundred times between now and Tuesday.
The next week seems very dynamic with a series of fronts and lows.
Gotta be a crap shoot !!
you could be right, but i'll cling to it none the less. 
tides in brizzy are .16m so no joy up here.
i hope the rain doesn't kill it. good to see some lows starting to come through though.
Well, it looks like I was wrong about the stability of that forecast.
It's starting to unravel a little now though.
I'm reading that as a fast moving change that does bugger all at this point.
Hope for all yer sakes I'm a chump.
hoping your wrong. 
thursday looks more likely on the forecasts but tues if it fires is going to be a cracker. some of the models are showing 35+
I know, I'm being a negative Nellie, but until today, the pattern looked solid.
Suddenly it's changing, and showing a much shorter period of likely high wind, which is why I'm saying it's unravelling.
The water is cold, but will the land get warm enough to make a NE bust that hard ??
You might well get your big Wello Winter Westerly though !!
but it's not a seabreeze, it's from a low.
i still think the rain may kill it but i'm hopefull it comes through, all of the models are saying yes so that is something.
@vando - see you thursday? 
@ken - we need to get you up to brisvegas to experience the winter wonderland. high tide at wello on thurs would be a good time to attend.
That's gonna be a bit tricky cos I'm in Atherton again for 2 weeks.
I'm doing as much work as I can in winter, so I can bludge off later in spring and summer.
The sun is shining, so I'm making hay.
I did get a really good look at VP and Wello from the air though as we flew past on Saturday.
There is a good body of water there, and it looked nice and blue and pretty as we flew by.
Not often that a commercial airline is so obliging for sight-seeing !!
looks like it's just gone north at the southern end. wonder if it's coming throug hearly or just a gust.
i'm out of phase with you ken, trying to get as much tow while works quiet. very early signs are there that this might not last much longer so i need to make the most of it.
It's becoming pretty windy here. If it's still ok in 20 mins I'm off to the shearwater for a couple of hours for some conveyor belt action
I hate you too.
Nah, no I don't.
Looks like I'm going to Hervey Bay for a few weeks late August to mid September, so I should catch up then.
It must be nice to still be considering sailing at 4pm in winter - I definately have to convince the better half we need to relocate closer to the water.
Tough decision pending with plenty of wind forecast: tue with rain, or thurs with flaky westerlies and sun. at least we have options 
Make a good brolly to shelter you from the rain anyway.
Where are you guys heading... still the train?? Looks gusty as hell down there at the moment. I'll be at the goldy by about 1030 hopefully
I dunno, low tide at lunchtime with a decent swell and a good north wind sounds like a recipe for Currumbin Soup to me.
Sailing the run-in tide there through the afternoon should be very good. Starting on a low tide means it's nice and easy to walk out to the wind and get well around the groyne.
I'll most likely do the train, or possibly shearwater after low tide turns. I'll make my way to train after 11am.
Heading off shortly. I'll be at the train by about 1030. Anyone keen to catch up for lunch if the rain sets in?? I need a back up plan to help avoid dissapointment
.0954...meanwhile at Manly.....20 knot squalls followed by periods of 7 knots NE.
.....waiting for improvement.
I can only remember sailing a northerly driven by a low coming across the land once. It was not good. It was actually the remnants of a confused cyclone, possibly called Barry, which had come down through the Gulf and wandered inland until it decided to exit across Bundaberg to head out to sea again.
It was gusting 5-50kts, I think. I remember being on a 4.0 and massively disappointed.
Despite that, you will have more fun today than I will.
Rig a big board and a big cambered sail and you'll have a blast.
