I have been thinking about this in light of the threads meanderings so my thoughts..........
Looking at Marine traffic, I have seen a regular stream of yachts depart from Port Phillip and head across the paddock to Sydney and further north since May. Some stopping along the way at Refuge Cove, Port Welshpole, Lakes Enterance or Eden. About four did the journey in the three weeks before this latest series of lows. All have picked the weather window and while i'm far from experienced I am of the opinion a Compass 28 would have made it no problem if it had gone at times when the other yachts went. Most are newer, larger boats around 40 feet, and all equipped with AIS obviously. Of the yachts without AIS, I have no idea.
But the sea is a great leveller and in rough to extreem weather, will expose any weakness in crew or craft,inspite of the size of the yacht.
Because i will head out there one day in the not too distant future i have been doing a bit of google reading over the years, as well as sailing on others yachts who have more experience. I have a folder on my puter full of Bass Strait stories and info so have dug up this one.......
An interesting case study is the sinking of the Inseption, a Beneteau 50, during the 2012 Queensclif to Port Fairy race.
It makes facinating reading.
The Beneteau 50 yacht, Inception, with a crew of 6 sank shortly before
midnight. It appears that Inception took on water forward resulting in a bow
down trim. It is believed that this initial flooding forward may have led to an
escalating sequence of events, allowing more water to enter the yacht and
overwhelm efforts to clear it. In the final phase of this sequence the flooding
was very rapid, causing the boat to sink in approximately 20-25 minutes after
water was noted flowing into the main cabin from forward.
2.3 Having lost their life raft overboard sometime earlier in the storm, Inception’s
crew was left with no option but to inflate their Personal Flotation Devices
(PFDs) and step into the sea as the boat sank.
The rescue:
www.mysailing.com.au/news/report-on-textbook-rescue-of-six-crew-after-yacht-sinks .......more good reading for those who want good info.
Inquiry into Marine Rescue Services in Victoria:
In the enquiry The Rear Comodore of the Port Fairy Yacht Club tells it how it is from his perspective including details of the Inceptions rescue........a great read about how things have changed in his observations.
http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:d42OAwVxgCkJ:www.parliament.vic.gov.au/images/stories/committees/ediosisc/marine_rescue_services/Transcripts/2014.04.15_32_Morgan_Corrected.pdf+&cd=1&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=au And the ORCV's internal Inquiry
a rather long read but section 4 on the chronology of events that led to the sinking is well worth it.
www.yachting.org.au/sport-services/safety/major-incident-reports/port-fairy/