Carantoc said...
The fall is a whole range of issues as pointed out.
Including the fact that Aussies paid $150,000 per year to drive a truck are given 6 months holiday and they still complain if the free coffee is not the exact brand of their own preference.
Labour costs are a big one, and in my opinion, have been driven there by shortage, poaching and regularly shifting roles for a few more percent on top of the salaries.
Miners encouraged this, with an "expand at all costs" mentality.
Complaining about life on site goes with the territory... People may only work six months of the year, but they are also away for all of that six months. No quick blast on the board when it's windy after work, no time with the kids, no after work social sporting practice (for those that know Flight of the Concords

) etc etc. $150K pa for driving a truck... I wouldn't do it for that!
worrier said...Im still not convinced we are falling

You only need to look to the growing list of postponed expansion plans and the falling iron ore spot price... what is the spot price now - somewhere between $85 and $90 a tonne? This all sounds very iron ore centric, but coal already fell significantly last year!
The Government talks of three stages to the boom; a price boom, an investment boom and a production boom. I think they are missing an important link here. The industry is extremely cost conscious at the moment. Some, not all, of that the investment has already been delayed. And importantly, the list of delayed expenditure is growing daily. BHP Billiton and FMG have announced that expansion (AKA investment) plans have been shelved/delayed, and BHP Billiton also announced the same for the Olympic Dam expansion. The surprise that the latter had on everyone in the federal and SA governments is a complete mystery to me!
There is one good point in there, the production boom. It is possible that the understanding of the requirements for higher production and the planning that goes along with that, are not yet in place. This means work... believe it or not, mining is not "dig and ship" as many have come to believe. It is actually bloody difficult, and involves loads and loads of planning, long-term, short-term or five year plans, two year plans, quarterly plans, daily etc etc. One small catch on the production boom, the investment needs to continue to fund the expansion to provide the work that goes along with the high production!