Now We All Know This is BS !

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DAM71
DAM71
QLD
498 posts
QLD, 498 posts
28 Mar 2011 12:39pm
Gestalt

You really need to learn how to provide proof. Copying somebody else's bibliography as you have done here demonstrates nothing more than your inability to evaluate the data for yourself.

I orignially posted on the basis of scientific data and how people as yourself make definative statements such as man made global warming is real.

How did you support this statement - well lets see you further state and i quote
There is a greater than 90 per cent likelihood that most of the global warming since the mid 20th century is due to increases in greenhouse gas emissions from human activities." csiro....

The terms liklihood and most do not categorically lay blame to global warming at the feet of mankind - as you previoulsy claimed. This is merely an observation made by an author that has most likely read other research and is discussing the point - it is not a fact.

You further claim that data quantifies this and supply a data set that is completely un-referenced. (Since the Industrial Revolution (about 1750), global carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration has risen 37 per cent, methane 150 per cent and nitrous oxide 18 per cent.) Where is this from?

This data does not support your statement, it merely confirms that CO2 concentration has increased in the atmosphere. Now if you were truly reading you would know that paleoclimatologists argue "In previous interglacial periods, CO2 levels spiked early and then gradually declined until the globe went into another ice age." Nature. online 25/3/2011. so what is to say that this CO2 increase is not a natural cyclic change?

Now based on the other data which you supplied - if it were true, you could have made claim that the empirical evidence supports the theory that the global sea temperature has increased in line with an increase in CO2 concentration in the atmosphere, which is most likely the result of further industrialisation and changes in agricultural practices.

I'm sorry to say that it is actually my belief that peole such as yourself who google research and grad snippets of information, then start spruiking this information as fact without substance are no better than the pollies and media beating their own drum.

Science deals with fact and nothing more - it is people who make the data say what they want. I recall my first statistics lecturerer once telling me that numbers can say anything for anyone. For example in 1975 the sales of vegemite increased in australia, in the same year the level of crime also increased - thus the cause of crime must be because of the consumption of vegemite.

By the way if anyone is interested i would subscribe to Nature - the leading science and medical journal in the world.
Chris 249
Chris 249
NSW
3576 posts
NSW, 3576 posts
28 Mar 2011 2:25pm
pierrec45 said...

Chris 249 said...


So basically, there's evidence even in my own library that winds were NOT stronger back in the good old days.

Huh, see what happens when replies are too long?
I made mine too long, and I guess I "misspoke".

Nowhere did I say winds then were stronger then. From personal (no logs) experience, I do not believe that either, that's why I didn't type it in. There were plenty of just average days - Sydney is not a strong-wind place. I know that too, because I used to teach there a lot. But I just about never had to cancel teaching nor not go out for non on-shoreness. Admittedly, that was over a very short period, mid-nov to feb. Perhaps I was lucky, but a heck of a large sample - I was not working summers then.

In B-bay, in the olden days, you'd usually stop by Sandringham (facing NE), seldom would you need drive further for a sail. Nowadays it's off-shore half the time (mostly SEs?) - no wonder that beach has waned...

I currently sail sailboats on part of the Great Lakes that have 0-1 NEs each summer, for the last 10 years - that's on the record here. Basically they'd never happen. We had an increbidle 16 just last 2 years. Never seen.

Anyways, enough of that. I believe , or experience, from my sailing and racing here that wind patterns, mostly directions, are seriously achangin'.


Pierre, I made the point about the strength of the wind because so many people say that winds used to be stronger. As you say, Sydney often had light breezes in the past just like it does today.

We can agree to disagree about the amount of NE breezes.
Wayne
Wayne
WA
123 posts
WA, 123 posts
28 Mar 2011 11:30am
Wayne said...

My take on it all is yes, there is climate change occurring, no i don't believe it is mankind influenced (enough to bring on doomsday) and that there are also many "white coats" disputing the mankind influenced climate change theory.



Part of my original post. Bolded for extra clarity to the myopic.
Stop twisting what i said FFS.
read and re read it.
I accept global warming/climate change is happening.
I am NOT YET convinced it is man created/enhanced.
And my point about Einstein and Gallileo seems to have been twisted conveniently too.
AT THE TIME they were the only ones putting their famous theories forwards. The majority of the science world were not on board (were they?).
Or are you saying there were no other scientista around then?
All it takes is 1 to change the way we think about something.
I don't have to know every intricate detail of their scientific carreer to be a valid point. No need to big note yourself if you do.
Gestalt
Gestalt
QLD
14956 posts
QLD, 14956 posts
28 Mar 2011 2:37pm
dam71 you can take it however way you want. apparently you understand more than the experts

all of the information i copied and pasted was directly from the "experts literature" and it's not snippets, it's not unreferrenced.

to take the csiro comments and infer that global warming is not man made is contrary to the csiro's findings. which i've read by the way and which is written numerous times within their information, as it is with nasa, with the uk met and with the ipcc, european agencies, etc etc etc.

by the way have you read anything from the paleoclimatologists, because contrary to what you concluded, the paleoclimatologist opinions from the main bodies in this field don't agree with you.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scientific_opinion_on_climate_change

if you actually take the time to read through that wiki page you will see it outlines numerous scientific bodies. that are saying climate change is real and is driven by humans.

i'm going with the experts here. not you.

so you dissagree with all of these organisations.

The following groups say the danger of human-caused climate change is a . FACT:

U.S. Agency for International Development
United States Department of Agriculture
National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration
National Institute of Standards and Technology
United States Department of Defense
United States Department of Energy
National Institutes of Health
United States Department of State
United States Department of Transportation
U.S. Geological Survey
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
University Corporation for Atmospheric Research
National Center for Atmospheric Research
National Aeronautics & Space Administration
National Science Foundation
Smithsonian Institution
International Arctic Science Committee
Arctic Council
African Academy of Sciences
Australian Academy of Sciences
Royal Flemish Academy of Belgium for Sciences and the Arts
Academia Brasileira de Ci?ncias
Cameroon Academy of Sciences
Royal Society of Canada
Caribbean Academy of Sciences
Chinese Academy of Sciences
Acad?mie des Sciences, France
Ghana Academy of Arts and Sciences
Deutsche Akademie der Naturforscher Leopoldina of Germany
Indonesian Academy of Sciences
Royal Irish Academy
Accademia nazionale delle scienze of Italy
Indian National Science Academy
Science Council of Japan
Kenya National Academy of Sciences
Madagascar's National Academy of Arts, Letters and Sciences
Academy of Sciences Malaysia
Academia Mexicana de Ciencias
Nigerian Academy of Sciences
Royal Society of New Zealand
Polish Academy of Sciences
Russian Academy of Sciences
l'Acad?mie des Sciences et Techniques du S?n?gal
Academy of Science of South Africa
Sudan Academy of Sciences
Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences
Tanzania Academy of Sciences
Turkish Academy of Sciences
Uganda National Academy of Sciences
The Royal Society of the United Kingdom
National Academy of Sciences, United States
Zambia Academy of Sciences
Zimbabwe Academy of Science
American Academy of Pediatrics
American Association for the Advancement of Science
American Association of Wildlife Veterinarians
American Astronomical Society
American Chemical Society
American College of Preventive Medicine
American Geophysical Union
American Institute of Physics
American Medical Association
American Meteorological Society
American Physical Society
American Public Health Association
American Quaternary Association
American Institute of Biological Sciences
American Society of Agronomy
American Society for Microbiology
American Society of Plant Biologists
American Statistical Association
Association of Ecosystem Research Centers
Botanical Society of America
Crop Science Society of America
Ecological Society of America
Federation of American Scientists
Geological Society of America
National Association of Geoscience Teachers
Natural Science Collections Alliance
Organization of Biological Field Stations
Society of American Foresters
Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
Society of Systematic Biologists
Soil Science Society of America
Australian Coral Reef Society
Australian Medical Association
Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society
Engineers Australia
Federation of Australian Scientific and Technological Societies
Geological Society of Australia
British Antarctic Survey
Institute of Biology, UK
Royal Meteorological Society, UK
Canadian Foundation for Climate and Atmospheric Sciences
Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society
European Federation of Geologists
European Geosciences Union
European Physical Society
European Science Foundation
International Association for Great Lakes Research
International Union for Quaternary Research
International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
World Federation of Public Health Associations
World Health Organization
World Meteorological Organization
The Democratic Party of America.
evlPanda
evlPanda
NSW
9207 posts
NSW, 9207 posts
28 Mar 2011 6:48pm
Chris 249 said...
Unless you have been maintaining objective data, how can you abuse a study that has used objective data?


How dare you push your "objective data" because I REMEMBER IT BEING HOTTER WHEN I WAS A KID BEFORE THERE WERE TAXES AND ALSO THE MILLENIUM BUG *NEVER HAPPENED* AND THEY CAN'T TELL YOU THE WEATHER CORRECTLY FOR TOMORROW AND THE BOATPEOPLE ARE PROBABLY ALL SCIENTISTS FOR MUSLIM PUSHING THEIR LAWS ONTO US TAXING OUR WAY OF LIFE AND NOT DRINKING WITH US... EH, WHAT'S WRONG WITH YOU, TOO GOOD TO HAVE A DRINK WITH US ARE YA?

AND ALSO CHEMTRAILS. JUST WATCH THIS VIDEO AND WAKE UP AND DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH ON THE INTERNET IS FOR IDIOTS AND ALL COPY PASTED AND EVERYTHING THAT HAS EVER HAPPENED THAT IS IMPORTANT IS BECAUSE OF ME BECAUSE I DON'T REMEMBER ANYTHING IMPORTANT NOT HAPPENING WHEN I WASN'T THERE OR WATCHING OR HEARD ABOUT IT.

Oh yeah speaking of storms, this video. PS Red Bull Storm Chase in its entirety is on YouTube if you ever missed it. Not bad.





evlPanda
evlPanda
NSW
9207 posts
NSW, 9207 posts
28 Mar 2011 7:36pm
As I see it we are faced with two options:

1) Believe the overwhelming consensus of scientific opinion.
2) Go back to university and study for years to gain some knowledge of the topic.

I haven't got time for #2, and people that have side with #1 anyway.

I guess it's like 99% of windsurfers saying to the general public "It is possible to sail faster than the wind", and then a couple of windsurfers also say "It isn't possible", and then practically half the general public chooses the answer they find easier to understand - it isn't. It's frustrating.

I'm going with the billions of hours of considered research and overwhelming consensus. Sorry skeptics.
AUS1111
AUS1111
WA
3621 posts
WA, 3621 posts
30 Mar 2011 1:04pm
evlPanda said...

As I see it we are faced with two options:

1) Believe the overwhelming consensus of scientific opinion.
2) Go back to university and study for years to gain some knowledge of the topic.

I haven't got time for #2, and people that have side with #1 anyway.

I guess it's like 99% of windsurfers saying to the general public "It is possible to sail faster than the wind", and then a couple of windsurfers also say "It isn't possible", and then practically half the general public chooses the answer they find easier to understand - it isn't. It's frustrating.

I'm going with the billions of hours of considered research and overwhelming consensus. Sorry
skeptics.

Good analogy and well said.


pierrec45
pierrec45
NSW
2005 posts
NSW, 2005 posts
30 Mar 2011 10:31pm
Chris 249 said...
Pierre, I made the point about the strength of the wind because so many people say that winds used to be stronger. As you say, Sydney often had light breezes in the past just like it does today.

We can agree to disagree about the amount of NE breezes.


Gotcha.

Yep, heard too some said winds were stronger. Musta been before Wally Lewis or the Chappells, Sydney always was just passable.

Cheers sir.
sailquik
sailquik
VIC
6171 posts
VIC, 6171 posts
30 Mar 2011 10:40pm
All I have to say is:

The older I get, the better it was!
pierrec45
pierrec45
NSW
2005 posts
NSW, 2005 posts
30 Mar 2011 10:59pm
Wow this thread.

At least 3 topics are intermingled here. That the big ball is warming up indeed, and if so, that it is significantly more so than in the past, and finally, that the cause or significant contributing factor is mankind.

You won't be able to prove even #1. There will be more and more studies, more and more "scientists" will switch over, as they have in the past 10-20 years. This is an asymptotic process: will never be proven, but over time, it will become general consensus in spite of the naysayers. The Earth was generally acknowledged to be roundish even before satellite could go up and take Polaroids of it to prove it.

Same with evolution (of sundry flavours): technically not proven. The ozone layer. Cancer and cigarettes, which is still not technically "proven", still has detractors on that basis alone, and for which there is now a reasonable consensus.

I too am old to go back to uni too, though I'd like to. Therefore I have to rely on my feel after reading tons of literature, mixed with a bit of cynicism on certain sources, i.e. industry. (The "scientists" who clung to the no-link-cancer-cigarette the longest were related to the tobacco industry, for instance.)

Given that I'm personally convinced through the sheer mass of data that it's warming up, then I will be less patient with having to wait another 10-25 years of having to reach consensus that it may not be man-related. Geeez, are we gonna do nothing about a dire situation just because we can't prove the likelyhood that the vast changes we're bringing to the planet may happen not to have an impact ?

This is crazy. Why not take up smoking because it ain't proven?
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