Dave Whettingsteel said.. eppo said...
Would have been around 8 percent, just above the long term average, why?
First place we bought some 25 years ago interest rates were 15-16%. We sold the place 18 years later for 10 times the value in a lower interest environment. We did spend a fair bit of money and a huge amount of energy renovating what was basically a ruin. But there is lesson in interest rates and property price correlation. I'm selling all my properties now. (Except for our home)
rates should be starting to normalise now in this part of the cycle Historically...but they are not!! Becuse all central banks want to keep the Ponzi scheme ticking along and have accumulated historically high debt, most of this going to Wall Street so companies can buy back their own shares. The bond yield curve (difference between short and long term bonds, and essentially how banks make a profit) is getting scarily close. no wonder most of Europe is in negative interest territory. Japan is a basket case. China is leveraged to its eyeballs. American corporate profits are decreasing...
And among all of this is a currency war which can take a decade or two to play out...symptoms of 'funny money'.
Im not sure historical interest rate correlations can be applied here...the 40 year fractional reserve lending experiment (making money out of nothing. ...well not nothing, through debt...may be reaching the end of its life)... Watch out folks...especially around 2025....
Secret life of real estate and banking, Jim Anderson...good start if you want to read to get an idea whats really going on.