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3 Tropical Cyclones

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General Gear Reviews Newbies The Hookup Foiling Lost & Found WA NSW QLD SA VIC TAS
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INTHELOOP
INTHELOOP
QLD
1855 posts
INTHELOOP INTHELOOP
QLD, 1855 posts
27 Jan 2011 9:42am
What is happening with Bianca in WA? (currently a TC 3)
Is Ex TC Anthony reforming towards NQ- some people predict it to hit NQ on the weekend. However, BOM is not giving away much forecast.
Tropical cyclone Wilma, currently a category 4 cyclone, is moving
westsouthwest where ever that can go toward.

Lets hope that the Coasts of Australia and the Islands in the oceans will be save and we only get great winds to kite out of this.

Thoughts?
Predictions?
toppleover
toppleover
QLD
2070 posts
toppleover toppleover
QLD, 2070 posts
27 Jan 2011 11:50am
These models are changing rapidly, and are only accurate to about 3 days out. There is a lot of worried people in Queensland ATM.

Another possible model here...
wxweb.meteostar.com/models/ipsm_looper.php?PROD=2011012618_ANZ_GFS_SFC_WINDS_SLP

Ex TC Anthony is looking like re-intensifying and may cross near Townsville on Monday mourning as a Cat 2.
TC Wilma is supposed to start on its track SE to NZ soon, however the area to watch for the moment is NW of Fiji as a tropical disturbance develops there.


Mr float
Mr float
NSW
3452 posts
Mr float Mr float
NSW, 3452 posts
27 Jan 2011 10:16pm
Yep still a long way out but that long range and the GFS long range have that cyclone hitting the east coast sat week .the GFS has it making landfall (deintensified but still a big storm by the look of it) hitting the hunter valley and mid north coast NSW
toppleover
toppleover
QLD
2070 posts
toppleover toppleover
QLD, 2070 posts
27 Jan 2011 9:39pm
Latest GFS model looks better for SE/QLD but look out our brothers to the north!

wxweb.meteostar.com/models/ipsm_looper.php?PROD=2011012700_ANZ_GFS_SFC_WINDS_SLP

SOME MAD EYEWALL FOOTAGE FROM THE STATES
jas73
jas73
QLD
796 posts
jas73 jas73
QLD, 796 posts
27 Jan 2011 10:03pm
I dont know of any Cyclones to hit NSW. Does anyone know of one. And i dont remember a Cyclone tracking from the south back up north. Weird weather were having.
Mr float
Mr float
NSW
3452 posts
Mr float Mr float
NSW, 3452 posts
28 Jan 2011 2:26pm
Mr float said...

Yep still a long way out but that long range and the GFS long range have that cyclone hitting the east coast sat week .the GFS has it making landfall (deintensified but still a big storm by the look of it) hitting the hunter valley and mid north coast NSW


Model has changed .No longer hitting NSW (don't know how it figured that ) but it looks like a whopper cyclone forecast at this stage to smash NTH qld and then loop around down through South Oz and then Victoria as a massive rain depression .lets hope they are still wrong
poor relative
poor relative
WA
9106 posts
poor relative poor relative
WA, 9106 posts
28 Jan 2011 11:37am
I bet the surf is thumping
getfunky
getfunky
WA
4485 posts
getfunky getfunky
WA, 4485 posts
28 Jan 2011 11:56am
Always a silver lining.. to every sheet of corrugated iron flying past eh Rellie?
MIKO
MIKO
QLD
408 posts
MIKO MIKO
QLD, 408 posts
28 Jan 2011 3:16pm
depends on which model ya look at but some area suggesting it (anthony) is going to come into land just above Townsville Sun night and then followed up by another if it forms around about Thursday Friday next week .
Local swell should increase dramatically from Sat morning
Rob C
Rob C
NSW
27 posts
Rob C Rob C
NSW, 27 posts
28 Jan 2011 4:55pm
In NSW we call them Low pressure systems and YES we have had plenty that are similar in strength to the "Cylcone". They pass between Australia and NZ regularly in the winter time
INTHELOOP
INTHELOOP
QLD
1855 posts
INTHELOOP INTHELOOP
QLD, 1855 posts
28 Jan 2011 6:36pm
www.bom.gov.au/products/IDQ65002.shtml

its coming for us!

Hi Miko we are keen to catch up in next days in Alva
Mr float
Mr float
NSW
3452 posts
Mr float Mr float
NSW, 3452 posts
29 Jan 2011 9:46am
Looks like that bigun next thurs Fri is pretty certain .This morning GFS run has yet another smaller one 4 days later
INTHELOOP
INTHELOOP
QLD
1855 posts
INTHELOOP INTHELOOP
QLD, 1855 posts
30 Jan 2011 9:56am
first one just coming on the 250km radar of townsville.

2nd system is huge!~ lets hope it weakens

www.goes.noaa.gov/sohemi/sohemiloops/shirgmscol.html
toppleover
toppleover
QLD
2070 posts
toppleover toppleover
QLD, 2070 posts
30 Jan 2011 10:24am
This pic gives you an idea of how much bigger Yasi is compared to Anthony....she is now heading straight at Qld, may arrive around next Thurs / Fri.


MIKO
MIKO
QLD
408 posts
MIKO MIKO
QLD, 408 posts
30 Jan 2011 12:28pm
INTHELOOP said...

first one just coming on the 250km radar of townsville.

2nd system is huge!~ lets hope it weakens

www.goes.noaa.gov/sohemi/sohemiloops/shirgmscol.html


Ya right about the second one it is huge.
Lot off speculation on the radio and around town here as to where it will make landfall, i reckon Tony will nail Bowen , we had early offshore wind this morning till about 8 am with 2 - 2.5 mtere waves
INTHELOOP
INTHELOOP
QLD
1855 posts
INTHELOOP INTHELOOP
QLD, 1855 posts
30 Jan 2011 2:46pm
YASI tracking prediction of JTWA

kiter zac
kiter zac
QLD
295 posts
kiter zac kiter zac
QLD, 295 posts
30 Jan 2011 3:04pm
toppleover said...

This pic gives you an idea of how much bigger Yasi is compared to Anthony....she is now heading straight at Qld, may arrive around next Thurs / Fri.





thats near the size of qld, huge system!!
sir ROWDY
sir ROWDY
WA
5378 posts
sir ROWDY sir ROWDY
WA, 5378 posts
30 Jan 2011 1:48pm
I thought it was called a "tropical low" not a cyclone if they hit down south?
wdric
wdric
NSW
1625 posts
wdric wdric
NSW, 1625 posts
31 Jan 2011 10:31am
toppleover said...

wxweb.meteostar.com/models/ipsm_looper.php?PROD=2011012618_ANZ_GFS_SFC_WINDS_SLP



I assume the colour is for wind
Is this correct and not rain?

Danger Mouse
Danger Mouse
WA
592 posts
Danger Mouse Danger Mouse
WA, 592 posts
31 Jan 2011 10:11am
sir ROWDY said...

I thought it was called a "tropical low" not a cyclone if they hit down south?


Tropical Low/Tropical Depression is the strength of storm under a Category 1 Cyclone/Hurricane.
toppleover
toppleover
QLD
2070 posts
toppleover toppleover
QLD, 2070 posts
31 Jan 2011 1:13pm
wdric said...

toppleover said...

wxweb.meteostar.com/models/ipsm_looper.php?PROD=2011012618_ANZ_GFS_SFC_WINDS_SLP



I assume the colour is for wind
Is this correct and not rain?




Hi wdric, being an infrared image I think the satellite works it out by heat sensors.
Here is the link if you don't all ready have it.

www.goes.noaa.gov/sohemi/sohemiloops/shirgmscol.html
Hopey
Hopey
QLD
178 posts
Hopey Hopey
QLD, 178 posts
31 Jan 2011 6:33pm



TC Yasi expected to hit the coast late Wednesday night / early Thursday morning......possibly intensifying to a Category 4.
Batten down NQ, could be nasty!

INTHELOOP
INTHELOOP
QLD
1855 posts
INTHELOOP INTHELOOP
QLD, 1855 posts
31 Jan 2011 8:29pm
toppleover
toppleover
QLD
2070 posts
toppleover toppleover
QLD, 2070 posts
31 Jan 2011 8:39pm
Hey Marv, just interested to know if you guys are evacuating or if not what precautions/preparations you are undertaking, keep safe and all the best.

Top
INTHELOOP
INTHELOOP
QLD
1855 posts
INTHELOOP INTHELOOP
QLD, 1855 posts
31 Jan 2011 9:04pm
toppleover said...

Hey Marv, just interested to know if you guys are evacuating or if not what precautions/preparations you are undertaking, keep safe and all the best.

Top


Im afraid it could be the worst Cyclone Australia has ever had!
To be honest we really hope for a wonder, this system is big, fast and the perfect conditions are given to be a Cat 5, covering a huge area of North Queensland.
INTHELOOP
INTHELOOP
QLD
1855 posts
INTHELOOP INTHELOOP
QLD, 1855 posts
31 Jan 2011 9:13pm
toppleover said...

Hey Marv, just interested to know if you guys are evacuating or if not what precautions/preparations you are undertaking, keep safe and all the best.

Top


Im afraid it could be the worst Cyclone Australia has ever had!
To be honest we really hope for a wonder, this system is big, fast and the perfect conditions are given to be a Cat 5, covering a huge area of North Queensland.
rhinoman
rhinoman
QLD
362 posts
rhinoman rhinoman
QLD, 362 posts
31 Jan 2011 9:58pm
what no mention of H.A.A.R.P
MIKO
MIKO
QLD
408 posts
MIKO MIKO
QLD, 408 posts
31 Jan 2011 10:33pm
INTHELOOP said...

toppleover said...

Hey Marv, just interested to know if you guys are evacuating or if not what precautions/preparations you are undertaking, keep safe and all the best.

Top


Im afraid it could be the worst Cyclone Australia has ever had!
To be honest we really hope for a wonder, this system is big, fast and the perfect conditions are given to be a Cat 5, covering a huge area of North Queensland.


FYI
Alva has been put on notice and residents have been advised to move to higher ground.
My old man is in Townsville and at belgian gardens , he reckons the nieghbours are e - vacing already.
My kids want the school blown over.
toppleover
toppleover
QLD
2070 posts
toppleover toppleover
QLD, 2070 posts
31 Jan 2011 10:41pm
Hope you have some high ground to wait this out, I would be making a run for it.

Cheers for the update link on WZ.

searider
searider
WA
28 posts
searider searider
WA, 28 posts
1 Feb 2011 5:01am
Hey Marv,
Bianca Cyclone when it went past Karratha was only Rain and a bit of wind looks like York copped a Flogging tho in Perth.
**** Mate if you best head over to K Town and we go fishing.
Yasi looks bad as wonder if it tracks straight across to us?
Good Luck Bro
TurtleHunter
TurtleHunter
WA
1675 posts
TurtleHunter TurtleHunter
WA, 1675 posts
1 Feb 2011 11:21am
We had a cat 5 in 99'. Good luck and don't be a hero trying to save your house.
Old fibro houses will not stop a star picket doing 250km. we had a star picket go through the wall and then through the back of the fridge right into the door.
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